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For one or two isolated commits, that is a fair question. But with hundreds I think it evens out.

A more detailed analysis could also take in account the number of changes. How many files per commit? How many lines, maybe?

The day of week is also a very interesting metric, that is very visible e.g. on github's timeline. I know my busiest days in terms of commits are in the middle of the week, a marked decrease on Friday afternoons, and if there are commits in the weekend, they most likely contain swearing in the message.

Edit: I'm betting Brad Fitzpatrick's pattern in Go (current job?) and memchached (not current job?) would vary in terms of day of week, not just hour.

It wouldn't even out - you never commit before writing code, so any measurement based on commit times will be consistently biased to later times.

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