"There are three main factors that could be encouraging professional environmentalists in their denial that our societies will collapse in the near- term. The first is the way the natural scientific community operates. Eminent climate scientist James Hansen has always been ahead of the conservative consensus in his analyses and predictions. Using the case study of sea level rise, he threw light on processes that lead to “scientific reticence” to conclude and communicate scenarios that would be disturbing to employers, funders, governments and the public (Hansen, 2007). A more detailed study of this process across issues and institutions found that climate-change scientists routinely underestimate impacts “by erring on the side of least drama” - (Brysse et al, 2013). Combined with the norms of scientific analysis and reporting to be cautious and avoid bombast, and the time it takes to fund, research, produce and publish peer-reviewed scientific studies, this means that the information available to environmental professionals about the state of the climate is not as frightening as it could be. In this paper I have had to mix information from peer-reviewed articles with recent data from individual scientists and their research institutions to provide the evidence which suggests we are now in a non-linear situation of climactic changes and effects."
We have to keep society running. We won't have the energetics to get it started again if it stops.
That's what I tell myself lying in bed every morning.
The societal collapse so great that we forgot and had to reinvent writing after it had existed for millennia.
You should be more concerned about a meteor or giant vulcanic eruption than catastrophic climate change.
OK, I gather that means fall 2019. If that were going to happen, I'd have expected some drop-off in 2018 harvests. And I don't see news about that.
But let's see what happens this year.
> They see social collapse leading to immediate meltdowns of nuclear power stations and thus human extinction being a near-term phenomenon. Certainly not more than five years from now.
That's still possible, I guess. But it too seems like a worst possible case.
But whatever, I'll be happy if the next decade or two is ~OK.
> Horn mentions The Club of Rome as a big player in the global conspiracy game. They are heavy into cutting down population.
> Me too, before they breed their peasant assholes into the sea.
One important issue I do not see, is population stabilization in places where growth is unsustainable.
No one is advocating for #2 or anything like it because it's a completely incompetent and reprehensible idea.
Climate-precipitated societal collapse is surely preferable to all over a large-scale nuclear war that is suggested to have been unilaterally invoked, tantamount to murder of billions and multiple genocides. That kind of 'solution' has no place in reasonable discourse about climate change mitigation or adaptation.
The world is not "full of" them.
You're a belligerent person, but you hold few facts.
As a staunch, lifelong environmentalist, I am astounded to hear such advocacy attributed to my milieu: this is the first I am hearing of it.
How did you come to this belief about the climate-concern platform?
Edit: the closest sentiment I could find in the OP was this:
> Examples include withdrawing
from coastlines, shutting down vulnerable industrial facilities, or giving up expectations for certain types of consumption. The third area can be called “restoration.” It involves people and communities rediscovering attitudes and approaches to life and organisation that our hydrocarbon-fuelled civilisation eroded. Examples include re-wilding landscapes, so they provide more ecological benefits and require less management, changing diets back to match the seasons, rediscovering non-electronically powered forms of play, and increased community-level productivity and support.