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Processing an image and extract understanding is exponentially harder than processing a go board

I think the point he wanted to make is that even an educated guess can be a decade off.

To illustrate this: https://xkcd.com/1425/

computer vision is clearly much harder than go. the point is that the forefront of AI is moving quite rapidly, and the consequence are bound to catch the casual observer (or even an expert) off guard.

Also Musk seems quite confident https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8dEYm8hzLo&t=9m00s

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