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Bit annoying that this article hat-tips Taleb, when Gerd Gigerenzer has been doing this better and for longer.

This book is a good introduction, includes a lot of anecdote from different health care professionals across a range of different testing (including cancer and HIV), and mentions the research across different health care professionals.

https://www.amazon.com/Reckoning-Risk-Learning-Live-Uncertai...

Here's an extract: https://imgur.com/zO4zkl4




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