UPS drivers are told not to turn left for a reason. Couldn't Waymo do the same?
I suspect not, because if that were the case, cities would outlaw left turns, and as far as I know, no city has done that.
We have a ton of roundabouts in Europe and if you ignore the merge into the roundabout, it transforms any turn into a right turn.
Imagine a world where no person drinks alcohol. I wonder if it would be more peaceful.
I suspect yes. Even though outlawing alcohol is not a solution that would lead to this world.
For sure. They drive like the most conservative driver you'll meet, to the point of being a bit dangerous. They come to a full stop at every stop sign, which here in California is unexpected, and unexpected means dangerous. They also slam on their brakes a lot, without regard to how far away the person behind them is (as opposed to when I have to slam on the brakes, I check the rear view and if possible cut it a little closer to the car in front if the car behind is really close).
They putter out of stop lights, which is mostly just annoying, and they generally follow the speed limits, even on roads where all the rest of the traffic is typically 10mph over.
To be fair, they are doing what in theory is much safer, but since they don't act like a human, it makes them unpredictable.
> If a vehicle around you was powered by Waymo with no markings stating as much would you know (ignoring the fact of an empty driver's seat)?
Well the massive LIDAR unit on top is a big giveaway. :) Actually that's the biggest giveaway. The cars are unmarked otherwise, and there is always a driver in the seat. They just may not have their hands on the wheel, but that's hard to tell from outside. And of course all of the aforementioned strange driving habits.
I'd think Tesla would be leading in terms of autonomous mikes driven given that they have sold 100k+ vehicles with Autopilot.
If you want to talk about real autonomous driving then it's Waymo.
If not, it's kind of a silly comparison.
It's frustrating and dangerous how many people don't realize the massive difference there is between Autopilot and autonomy. It's mostly Tesla's fault in how they market it IMO.
> Luckily that type of road doesn't exist
Speak for yourself.
In more related news I have a friend who helps out on Waymo and he's ALWAYS posting great articles about Waymo tech, always showing off amazing pictures of what he's working on, and he's always positing about how great things in the future could be. He's not the type of dude to over hype something, he's not the type of person who over exaggerates things either. He's not insanely fanboy-ish about it but he's definitely borderline. But, I guess when your vehicles are blowing the competition out of the water you'd be excited too?
So obviously, the adjective driverless no longer means without a driver.
The part about an additional remote operator is tongue in cheek.
Thats 1 fatality per ~100M miles on average.
So presumably Waymo would have to drive a few hundred million miles without a fatality to conclusively be able to say 'we are safer'.
> There was an occupant in the driver's seat of the Waymo vehicle who suffered minor injuries, Tyler added.
Insurance companies are (literally) in the business of pricing the riskiness of drivers, so they tend to understand which ones are the riskiest. If there is a group that is clearly riskier than the total average but is allowed to drive, there's good reason to think about making that group the point of comparison.
2012 miles per day 240
2014 miles per day 636
2017 miles per day 4,630
Feb 2018 miles per day 10,753
June 2018 miles per day 16,494
July 2018 miles per day 25,000
This suggests two interesting things to me:
1) Google/Waymo, the "software and ML can solve this problem" company is admitting that hardware is important to solving the problem.
2) They are likely much further away from L5 or even public release than some believe given that they are now completely revamping their sensor suite.
Most companies want lidar to get cheaper not better. Very rarely has the solution to a perception problem been "better sensors" as opposed to "more ml".
If Waymo can revamp the car's sensor suite this late in the process, all the while ramping up their fleets and consumer services, it suggests to me that their software is sufficiently powerful and flexible not to need massive and costly retraining; basically I think they have "solved" the problem on the software side (given appropriate constraints such as good weather, excellent mapping, etc.) and are now working on rationalizing the hardware costs.
Especially when the graph shows that they've completed 6M of those 10M in the last year! (https://www.theatlas.com/charts/S1uAcpj97)