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Have a look at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter

I personally wasn't disappointed — I'm really glad I did this as my undergrad. AI research however tends to go through periods of hype followed by disillusionment. There's a history of promising developments that hit a wall or fizzle out in the long run. That's not to say there hasn't been progress (there's been tons!), but based on track record alone, it's prudent to be skeptical of overly optimistic pronouncements — we're probably much further from the "singularity" than one would think, based on current wave of ML hype anyway.




You’re over emphasizing a particular historical fable. Yes, some AI hype has happened. We’ve all read the “summer project” of McCarthy, Shannon, et al.

But all these recent advances are not just hype. It’s real. Anyone who has been following this area for a long time knows that some big problems (like large-scale image classification) have been solved, and in an orderly way that builds on prior work going back to the 1990s and before. (My ML PhD was in 1995.)

Nobody here is referring to the “singularity” - that is obviously speculation that has nothing to do with the CMU program.


> we're probably much further from the "singularity" than one would think

For your - and my - sake I hope that that is true. If not all bets are off and you might not like the end results.


Singularity of stupidity is already here. I mean, you have to be pretty stupid to take something as absurd and sci-fi nerd bs like "singularity" seriously.




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