> The figure is impressive but is also highly irregular and out of sync with the reported Linux marketshare from other companies like StatCounter and Wikimedia.
> Netmarketshare also stress that the graph showing Linux’s big leap is based on “preview data that has NOT been reviewed by Quality Assurance”.
Anecdotally, I was at an Erlang and Elixir event on Saturday morning. The first three speakers were using Ubuntu machines. I didn't notice what the fourth one used. Maybe it's the subject but conferences use to be MacBook monocultures with an occasional Linux or Windows machine.
That's one likely reason.
Technically Chromebooks are Linux, but it doesn't seem right to combine them with Linux when doing broad charts or data like this. It would be better to separate it out.
A smaller part could be headless Chrome being fully unleashed. Though I'm not so sure about this.
That only explains this trend if they just started counting Chromebooks though, because there was no drop during the summer.
Also unless there's some data about people's frustrations, I find it hard to believe ~4% of computer users previously with Mac and Windows got frustrated enough to switch to Linux. Are people but a tiny minority on sites like this frustrated with either OS?
Anecdotally, I don't know anyone in my life who has switched to Linux this year or last year. I know people on Linux but they were already on it. Again completely anecdotal, but I go out to coffee shops, Barnes Noble, libraries, student centers, and co-working spots frequently in various cities in the east and west coast. I rarely if ever, see Linux being used.
I'm not totally convinced by the report either but mainly because I can't get at the data, sampling methods etc. To be honest I didn't try too hard. That said, I would never rely on anecdote - there is a damn good reason why we both automatically mention the word whenever we spout off in a forum such as HN.
I'm a KDE aficionado for good reason. I put a few large icons (KDE allows you to scale your icons really well) on the desktop, with a pretty wallpaper, that have easily understandable functions, that are locked in place. The ability to lock the desktop layout is a killer feature that I do not see available on Windows or Mac or most Linux WMs.
Obviously, it does help that I'm an IT Consultant but "For an average user, Linux can still be quite challenging to use as their main OS." No it doesn't need to be so. The KDE Plasma UI can be made very simple or unbelievably complex to suit the required UX.
Edit: And now it is gone. Seems there is some tweaking of the numbers happening...
The uptick from August to September looks enormous, but if Chromebooks did well in back-to-school sales to students and schools, it might be real.
i've got ubuntu (i3wm) on my home machine and would never consider anything else for my development environment. Not having to manually manage windows was an eye opener to me.
but from my experience, most people aren't open to change. they don't want to relearn anything. they just want their old way, forever and ever on.
there will be some software that they've used for years. This software will probably be (at best) similar to the linux alternative. But it will be different. And they don't want different. They want the same UX.
This applies to both Windows and Apple Users. Its especially confusing if said person knows jack shit about their chosen platform.
I just hit refresh on the page, and the number dropped from 6.91 to 4.94...
Was there any major Linux release that would explain that ?
Otherwise, i'd go with "This report contains preview data that has NOT been reviewed by Quality Assurance."
The data could be a bit wrong too like you're saying. It doesn't seem like Chromebooks should've made that big of an effect. Maybe a ton of schools are using them now though?
You're also using a lot of "I". Windows 10 has been received decently by the public. Windows 8 wasn't but it wasn't the worst reception either since a lot of people were so happy with Windows 7. This could possibly make sense if Windows 10 hadn't come out. But even then the number increase is too great in a short time span to blame Windows 8/10
Out of all people using linux as their desktop/laptop I know about a third are privacy minded and take this extra step.