I suspect this is where we are headed.
However an EV car takes the same space up as an ICE car. EV cars do not solve congestion and if you move from a policy of maximising traffic flow to maximising road capacity you very quickly realise that the fundemental problem is the private car. So the conclusion is to ban the car https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2015/dec/09/car-free-city...
I believe Copenhagen now has only 9% of people commuting by private car and 62% by bicycle.
I could see traffic a being a lot better with fully autonomous cars. Still, public transportation and more bike lanes seem like a much better investment and way to go.
I think privacy is something that is a function of cost benefit. When road pricing becomes ubiquitous (as it will given the march towards EV), people will begin shift to public transport.
It'd be best if the software on it was open source, came with a nice tasty bug bounty and had an occasional audit from a third party secu- oh god it's never happening is it
On the bright side, electric cars don't pollute emissions or noise when idling. It's an incremental improvement, but one I happily embrace.
EVs full speed ahead.
Autopilot cars can do a lot for congestion. If every driver implemented the "stay halfway between" algorithm mentioned in CGP Grey's "The Simple Solution to Traffic" video, there would be far less congestion.
EVs would also enable simpler tunnel construction and better tunnel economics. This is a part of Elon Musk's new proposals.
One thing you don't hear discussed much though is the reduction of noise that I assume will become quite noticeable once most vehicles are electric. Living close to a busy road or highway should become a lot more bearable.
The other fun number is that the US was only 160k out of the 2M vehicles. Much more in line with the US population proportion to the world. A signal perhaps of the US's waining global leadership. Perhaps in the next ten years America will shrink back into a regional superpower.
The US is a large country with lots of empty space in it.
Don't get me wrong, much of it is great and beautiful. It's also really, really big. We probably have stretches of uninhabited land larger than some countries.
What percentage of the US population regularly commute that far?
I was under the impression that most of the US population (and the rest of the world's population as well) lived in cities.
That said I live ~50mi from the nearest major metro area and have had no issues with EV ownership for the last 2.5 years. I've got a 250mi operating radius from my house(charging overnight) and there's at least 2-3 superchargers in each direction with that kind of range.
A type 2 50v charger can push my Chevy Bolt's battery from 25% to 80% in well under an hour, making it sort of perfect for errands. That takes me from a 80 mile range to a 232 mile range, approximately.
If these could be deployed in wider numbers, there really is no part of the US that isn't in range except perhaps the most intensely mountainous regions. I'm actually very surprised we aren't starting to see franchises sprouting up offering a renewable power source, a large power storage solution, and a series of type2 50v chargers in an array. It seems to me like a massive potential market if you could literally turn solar and wind into fuel for cars and charge people for parking in the same go.
Yea, and so are Russia and China. The problem is the US chooses to hose its taxpayers by subsidizing rural living.
Just as an example, if we had Japan/Korea's urbanization rate, that's another 30+ million Americans in cities and out of the boonies...
Counter point, my wife's family owns a farm roughly 80 miles from any sort of 'urban center' (and 300+ miles from the big city).
They were first in line for the Nissan Leaf, and had to make special arrangements to have it delivered. They love it for driving into their nearby small town, and they cannot wait to replace their other cars with electrics. (Sadly, there are not electric farm trucks yet.)
Enough electric power to cover 90+% of daily scenarios, but an ICE that can be 'recharged' at a fuel pump in 60 seconds for long road trips.
You're obviously adding a lot of complexity to the car by having both systems, which is a drawback.
Norway's fund has actually start to divest from fossil fuels in a large way : https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/feb/05/norways-...
(Similarly, oil states in the gulf are investing in solar, as it's simply cheaper).
The actual economics is way more complicated.
Some thoughts to ponder:
1) Why don't other countries oil-producing nations try to minimize their own oil consumption in a similar way?
2) Why don't other countries do the same with whatever natural resource they have an abundance of?
Hypothetically, I could envision growth declining or accelerating in any given year, both of which would be news worth pointing out. (And in a mature market like conventional gasoline cars with lots of near end-of-life "clunkers" out there, I could see absolute number decreasing, which would be worth knowing). But an increase in absolute number of EVs is so nearly certain as to just be noise.
Exponential growth in renewables is the only real solution to climate change.
think of all the poor rich people trying to feel good about their imense investment on a disposable toxic ton of battery. How insensitive.
(I've edited my original comment a bit to make this clearer.)
London has a few routes with them on now and I wish TfL would invest more in it. The air quality on main streets is horrible here.
The breakthrough will come when Beijing goes electric-only. Already, it's much easier to get a Beijing license for an electric car.
Take a look at this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abundance_of_elements_in_Earth...
Lithium is #33, estimated at 20 ppm of the crust. We presently mine 64000 tons per year. It is more common that lead, which is #37 and only 14 ppm. Yet we mine 4.8 million tons of lead per year. Now examine boron. #41, 10 ppm and 9.4 million tons per year. Are these unsustainable? Are we on the verge of peak boron and peak lead? Probably not. We have twice as much lithium so we probably aren't going to run out of lithium even if demand increases by a hundred-fold.
I am not a geologist, so maybe much of this lithium is more inaccessible than I'm assuming. But thinking that the known deposits are the entire world supply is silly.
That is a problem to keep in mind, but I am optimistic that before we reach even half that production capacity, the massive amounts of money that will be poured into battery research will produce good alternatives that don't rely on lithium. As production scales up so do R&D budgets, and there is a lot of promising alternatives.
Can't wait for our fluvial polution with all those tesla batteries in a dumb, waiting to be recycled after a huge lithium reserve is found and make recycling unattractive.
its a lose-lose scenario. Either no new reserves or recycling not economically viable.