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My skepticism is not about "succeeding" academically in the sense that research groups get better and better scores on Kaggle competitions.

My skepticism is about success in the sense of commercially useful systems that can process language and function "off the leash" of human supervision without the results being dominated by unacceptably bad results.

Look at the XBOX ONE Kinect vs the XBOX 360 Kinect. On paper the newer product is much better than the old product, but neither one is any easier or fun to use than picking up the gamepad. In the current paradigm, researchers can keep putting up better and better numbers without ever crossing the threshold to something anybody can make a living off.




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