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I think the road to destabilization would be for the US to give nuclear weapons to South Korea, Japan and Taiwan, and then tell China to deal with it.


Getting Japan to accept them might run into some internal political issues; there's historically been some opposition to nuclear weapons in Japan. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Non-Nuclear_Principles for example.

That said, if Japan decided it _wanted_ nuclear weapons, it can almost certainly produce them itself very quickly (order of 6-12 months according to most estimates I've seen). They have the raw fissile material due to their longstanding nuclear power plant program, and the general knowhow and infrastructure. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_nuclear_weapon_progra... has some more data.


"Hey friends, because I trust you guys, I prepared this special gift. I hope you guys like it."

"Oooo a present! What is it?"

"It's a T-shirt with a giant logo reading "FUCK YOU CHINA", with a red bullseye painted on the back. Like it?"


South Korea and Japan are already under our nuclear umbrella. It would be a major change in our nonproliferation stance to give weapons out.


Well accept them into NATO and you can give out nukes like candy under the strategic arms sharing clause.


That's the point. I don't want destabilization. But if that's your goal, you can get it pretty quickly without any need for a sneak attack by conventional forces.


I rather doubt that further proliferation of nuclear weapons would do the world any good, either now or in the future




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