"Many of the jobs most at risk are lower down the ladder (logistics, haulage), whereas the skills that are least vulnerable to automation (creativity, managerial expertise) tend to be higher up"
Your job vulnerability, I think, is not only a matter of automation. It also a question of "commoditization". If you become a commodity, meaning that, if
* what you do can be well described
* your workflow can be well described
* the tools you use are becoming standard
* there is no real barrier for entering your field.
Then, you'll lose very quickly any bargaining power and your 'salary' or 'margin' will decrease.
Technology, as it progresses, tends to commoditize 'producers', whereas usually 'distributors' are less vulnerable.
There's an interesting consequence here. The easier your job is to describe, the more subject to commoditization it is. But the harder it is to describe, the harder it is to sell.
In the future, we'll all be weird data scientist/UI/product dev/entrepreneurs.
Those looking to sell themselves will have to do so on results, fad-of-the-day, or personal relationships.
"Those looking to sell themselves will have to do so on results, fad-of-the-day, or personal relationships"
100% agree.
Actually I tend to think more and more that personal relationship is really a big big one.
Your job vulnerability, I think, is not only a matter of automation. It also a question of "commoditization". If you become a commodity, meaning that, if * what you do can be well described * your workflow can be well described * the tools you use are becoming standard * there is no real barrier for entering your field. Then, you'll lose very quickly any bargaining power and your 'salary' or 'margin' will decrease.
Technology, as it progresses, tends to commoditize 'producers', whereas usually 'distributors' are less vulnerable.